There are
two deep disappointments about the recent visit by Australia’s new Prime
Minister Kevin Rudd to Indonesia and one deep source of satisfaction.
The first
disappointment was the poverty of diplomatic techniques involved. This is no
reflection on the Prime Minister himself, nor the recently ousted PM Julia
Gillard, and certainly not Australia’s Ambassador to Indonesia, Greg Moriarty
(well worth following @DubesAustralia on Twitter). This is a problem
of trust, of some years standing, left over from the difficult period following
Australia’s key involvement in the independence of Timor Leste during the
Howard government.
Forget
the ‘konfrontasi’ analogy recently used by Rudd
in a media conference, where
he suggested that Opposition Leader Tony Abbott’s asylum-seeker policy (of
intercepting and ‘turning back’ boat arrivals) risked sparking a diplomatic
conflict with Indonesia that could escalate further. There were some
exceptionally sensitive moments between Australia and Indonesia in the 1999
pre- and post-ballot violence in Timor Leste, and the early period of the Interfet mission which
did serious damage to bilateral relations and could have led to conflict, but
didn’t.
Over a
decade later there is a genuinely good relationship between Australia and the
current Indonesian leadership under President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono and
Foreign Minister Marty Natalegawa. But this may not last past the July 2014
election, especially if Prabowo Subianto wins.
So how
should Australia manage its relationship with Indonesia? Should it try to
develop and share strategy as pivotal powers in the region on some of the most
important issues of our epoch? Or are Australia’s politicians too parochial to
even notice Indonesia’s good fortune and rising influence?
Should
Australia ask how it can support the development of ASEAN as a security and
economic community? Should it seek to support the new ASEAN Institute for Peace
and Reconciliation? Should it seek to support President Yudhoyono in his role
leading the debate over what to replace the Millennium Development
Goals with after 2015?
Should Australia seek advice on how Indonesia — as a key member of the Non-Aligned Movement at the United Nations and thus having better access to the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) — thinks we can achieve a result at the next round of climate negotiations?
Should Australia seek advice on how Indonesia — as a key member of the Non-Aligned Movement at the United Nations and thus having better access to the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) — thinks we can achieve a result at the next round of climate negotiations?
Should
Australia seek to understand Indonesia’s views as an ASEAN leader to inform
Australia’s membership of the UN Security Council, especially in relation to
regional security actors? Should it strategise with Indonesia about the G20
Summit in Brisbane next year and how Australia can advance regional economic
coordination, and promote the region to the globe? Or seek advice on a grand
vision to promote Australians learning Bahasa Indonesia as part of the Australia in the Asian
Century
White Paper?
As far as
Australian politics is concerned, the answer is no. Rather, it’s cattle
exports, Australian prisoners and boats. It’s always cattle, prisoners and
boats.
This
leads to the second disappointment. Cattle, prisoners and boats are
individually important issues to both parties. But they have all been framed in
diplomatic terms with Australia as the victim and Indonesia as a violator or
weak antagonist. It is Indonesian slaughterhouses, police or prisons all doing
the wrong thing. It is poor old Australian cattle, over-burdened asylum-seeker
system or criminals suffering.
True in some respects, but this debate is not
framed to seek a solution. In some cases — notably when it comes to durable
solutions for asylum seekers — the Australian position is manifestly
unreasonable. We need to frame these issues in terms of regional animal rights,
forced migration and human rights issues, or let post handle them and keep the
leaders out of it.
This
visit by Prime Minister Rudd to Indonesia saw the tune change a little on
asylum seekers to one of regional solutions for forced migration flows — but
this tune has been played before with no real political or diplomatic effort
expended. If Jakarta-centred foreign policy is to be pursued and properly
considered in the political debate, then Mr Abbott will have to step up very
high from where he is now.
But what
of my deep satisfaction? Mr Rudd has been in power for not a fortnight and
Australia’s media is awash with international stories and diplomacy headlines.
That is, at least, a good start.
Susan Harris Rimmer is the Director of Studies at
the Asia-Pacific College of Diplomacy, Australian National University.
July 2013
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