Professor Tim Lindsey
The controversial decision
of the Indonesian police to continue criminal proceedings for blasphemy against
the Jakarta Governor, Basuki Tjahja Purnama, known as Ahok, reveals deep fault
lines in Indonesian society. The huge crisis that has now engulfed his campaign
for reelection is complex but clearly reflects two serious problems at the
heart of Indonesian democracy.
The first is the rise
of religious intolerance among Indonesia’s 80 percent-plus Muslim majority. The
second is the manipulation of that intolerance by the small group of elite
politicians who dominate Indonesian politics.
Indonesian reformers
began to warn about rising religious intolerance towards unorthodox Muslim
groups and Christians while former President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono was in
office.
Regarded internationally
as a sincere democrat and, as Australian diplomats usually put it, ‘basically
decent’, Yudhoyono played a key role in pushing the army back into the barracks
after Soeharto’s fall in 1998. His weak
spot, however, was conservative Islamists, known in Indonesia as ‘hardliners’. He
seemed unable – or unwilling – to do anything to oppose their rise.
In the decade of Yudhoyono’s
presidency (2004-2014) there were, in fact, far more convictions for blasphemy
than under the 32 years of Soehartos’ rule. Most of these were at the behest of
MUI, Indonesia’s conservative Council of Ulama
(Islamic religious leaders), an NGO that acts an umbrella group for Muslim
groups.
Reinventing itself
from the regime puppet it had been under Soeharto, this secretive organisation quickly
became an assertive national champion of conservative Muslim values. Yudhoyono backed
it, saying it should have a ‘central role’ in defining religious orthodoxy and
help form state policy on religion, with the ‘tools of state’ ‘doing their
duty’ to implement its fatwas. Indonesia. Many – including law enforcement
officials – are now confused about its status and think of it as state agency
A pattern has emerged
of MUI branches issuing fatwas against minority religious groups. In many
cases, this is followed by demonstrations against the group, often violent,
usually provoked by hardliner vigilante groups like the notorious Islamic
Defenders Front. (FPI) The police stand
back at first, before days later arresting members of the target group. They are
then tried for blasphemy on the basis of the fatwa, and are usually jailed.
Ahok, a double-minority
Chinese Christian, is by far the most prominent and powerful figure to face
possible of prosecution for blasphemy. The massive and violent demonstration against
him that gridlocked Jakarta on 4 November and forced President Joko Widodo
(known as Jokowi) to cancel his state visit to Australia nonetheless fits the
pattern.
On 11 October MUI
issued an ‘opinion’ condemning Ahok for comments made on the election trail. Ahok,
is known for blunt and often unguarded
remarks, said that voters shouldn’t be fooled by ulama using a verse of the
Qur’an to claim that Muslims should not take non-Muslims as their leaders.
When transcribed to a
website, the reference to ‘using’ was dropped, making it seem Ahok was
suggesting Muslims could fooled by the Qu’ran. MUI said that either version insulted
Islam - and that is enough to constitute blasphemy under Indonesian law.
Technically MUI’s
opinion was not a fatwa but it made no difference. The violent protest followed three weeks
later. it involved the usual hardliner vigilante groups, as well as groups
opposed to evictions Ahok has ordered in his struggle to clean up Jakarta’s
chaos, and others put off by his ‘straight-talking style’ (often a euphemism
for anti-Chinese sentiment).
Last week, the police
announced they planned to proceed with the blasphemy case against Ahok, despite
real debate among Muslim scholars about whether the remark was reasonable or
not.
Now prosecutors must
make a final decision about the charges Ahok should face and whether the
evidence is sufficient. Given the huge
pressure on law enforcers from hardliners, it is likely he will face trial for
blasphemy. Jokowi has already said as much, saying he ‘wants the nation to
watch’. Ahok will probably face
additional changes of ‘causing feelings of hatred in the community’, a back-up
charge often used to ensure conviction if blasphemy fails for technical
reasons.
There is a real
possibility Ahok will be convicted, at first instance at least. Judges in
recent controversial cases, like the Jakarta International School child abuse case
and the Jessica Wongso muder case, have seemed afraid to make a decision
against public sentiment as presented in the media, regardless of what the
evidence says.
And that would suit
Yudhoyono, as his son, Agus, is running against Ahok in the gubernatorial race.
For Yudhoyono, furious
with Jokowi for belittling his legacy and worried about his own Democrat
Party’s fading clout, his son’s victory would be a clear signal that he is back
in the game. This why the gossip raging in Jakarta has it that Jokowi’s claims
that the riots were instigated by ‘political actors’ is a reference to
Yudhoyono.
This reveals the
second faultline. In a sense, the religious issues are only part of what this
crisis is about. At another, deeper,
level, it is really about ruthless elite competition for power. Ahok was Deputy
when Jokowi was governor of Jakarta. The
two have been very close. Until the blasphemy crisis erupted, Ahok was clear
favourite to win, with high approval ratings as governor. Now he might lose.
The third ticket in
the race is former education minister, Anies Baswedan, and he is backed by the
party of Jokowi’s failed presidential rival, the former general and one-time
Soeharto son-in-law, Prabowo Subianto.
In other words, the
election for the powerful position of governor of Indonesia’s capital has
become a high-stakes proxy war between three of the most powerful men in
Indonesia: President Jokowi, former president Yudhoyono, and former
presidential candidate Prabowo.
It looks like the
embattled and utterly pragmatic Jokowi may cut his close friend Ahok loose to
save himself. If he does, the hardliners will have won. Again.
Tim Lindsey is Redmond Barry
Distinguished Professor at Melbourne Law School and co-editor of ‘Religion, Law
and Intolerance in Indonesia’ (Routledge).
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