Tony
Abbott has, depending on which way you look at it, simply capitulated to his
Indonesian hosts during his recent visit to Jakarta, or exercised great
humility and pragmatism towards a country that will play an enormous role in
our region in the future.
Within
Indonesia it is being seen as the latter, and that can only be a good thing for
both countries. But now that our prime minister has formally acknowledged Australia’s
mistakes in the handling aspects of the bi-lateral relationship, the issue is
whether Indonesia needs to do the same.
Indonesia
was right to feel very aggrieved over Australia's handling of the live cattle
export crisis, and also annoyed at some of the more 'radical' policies from our
then Opposition suggesting Australia could pay Indonesian village wardens to
'dob-in' people smugglers, and buy back fishing boats, so it was important that
Prime Minister Abbott acknowledged the harm that has been done.
The real
challenge now is for Indonesia to acknowledge some of the key issues facing its people - at the start of what will
be a very 'robust' election cycle where nationalism is on the rise – and to
recognise that Indonesia also has taken actions that have worked against its
own best interests, including building closer relations with Australia and the
region.
Indonesia
with a fast growing middle-class – estimated to rise from the current level of
45 million people to 135 million in 2030 – faces enormous challenges in a
number of critical areas including infrastructure, energy, education, health
and in general business where Indonesia could 'partnership' with Australian
companies to improve living standards and opportunities for their country.
There is
perhaps no greater example of where a partnership approach with Australia could
prove highly successful than within the agriculture sector.
Indonesia's
agriculture sector enjoys superb soils, abundant rainfall of plenty of labour; already
employing 41 million people. The productivity of farms however, is extremely
low with farmers generating around $3,000 per year per farmer compared to
$9,000 in Malaysia for example. Over 70% of all fresh produce found in
Indonesia’s major supermarkets is imported.
A recent
McKinsey Report showed that Indonesia, on current projections, would produce
around 185 million tonne of food by 2030. Yet with improved productivity that
figure could be 310 million tonnes each year, providing not only enough food
for Indonesia's growing and increasingly wealthy population but also - and this
is the key point - being able (with Australian partners and branding) to
add-value and export ‘surplus’ foods to third-party countries in the
Middle-East and Asia.
But to do
this, Indonesia has to acknowledge that government red-tape and bureaucracy,
including a policy of increasing tariffs
designed to protect poor agriculture practices, will only hold back the
huge and necessary structural change that must be implemented in this sector.
So why is
Indonesia’s food growing sector so unproductive? Indonesia lacks investment and
expertise in rural infrastructure, training of farmers, cold supply chains,
technology, irrigation, farm management and also access to good quality seed. Australia
is very good at all of these things; in
fact Australia is arguably the best in the world, so why not put our knowledge
and skills together with Indonesia's soil, rainfall, abundant labour and
strategic location, so that both countries
win?
If
Indonesia can work with Australia to transform their agriculture sector, the
impact will be enormous for both countries. Indonesia doesn't really have a
choice if it wants to feed its growing middle-class in the future and Australia
is perfectly placed to partner our neighbour in this critical area.
We should
start with the cattle industry whereby Indonesia is now buying into our
breeding cattle stations, and Australian companies are being encouraged to take
an interest in feedlots and processing companies in Indonesia. It makes good
sense, and together we can meet Indonesia’s beef production needs well into the
future whilst building a strong base for Australia-Indonesia ‘added value’ produce
to be exported around the region.
So
following Mr Abbott's visit, the 'challenge' is now only for Australia, but
with Indonesia to open-up this critical and large – but poor, over regulated
and unproductive – agriculture sector, and in doing so create opportunities for
business to form highly valuable partnerships.
The
agriculture ‘model’ can also apply to other critical areas facing Indonesia
including the resources sector, financial services, and manufacturing. It won’t
be easy. Doing business in Indonesia is not simple with at least nine
‘procedures’ and an average of 33 days just to establish a commercial entity in
Indonesia.
The
opportunities for Australia and our northern neighbour to substantially increase
two-way trade and investment are enormous, but it will need Australian
companies to recognise and act on these opportunities that exist on our
doorstep.
It will however, need Indonesia to address the
‘barriers-to-entry’ that often act as a significant deterrent to doing business
in Indonesia, including protectionist policies, inconsistent regulations and an
unwieldy bureaucracy.
This will
be the challenge for the incoming president and government over the next 12
months at a time when the indications are that politics in Indonesia is being
dominated by ‘economic nationalism’.
My comments
are not meant to present an opinion that is ‘sombong’ towards a country that -
as a young man - stole my heart, but rather as constructive suggestion as to
how Indonesia can build on its truly amazing transformation, since the end of
the Suharto reign, and realise the dreams and aspirations of its people.
Well said. Indonesia is a great country but it needs to make some tough calls to address the enormous challenges facing it. Once agin Ross Taylor speaks the truth.
ReplyDeleteRob Johnson. West Perth