By Lauren Gumbs
Indonesian presidential hopeful Prabowo Subianto has
just seven months to convincingly reinvent his image as a human rights defender
before the 2014 election next May.
In keeping with his portrayal as diplomatic and
benevolent, Prabowo recently visited a maid on death row in Malaysia who was accused
of murdering her employer, and has promised to assist her during upcoming court
proceedings. He is seeking clemency for the death penalty, the first and only
Indonesian official or immigration spokesman to visit Wilfrida, a 17 year old
who it is believed was trafficked at age 12 to work in the neighboring country.
Despite assisting a forgotten and otherwise ignored
migrant worker, the case demonstrates the level of public relations Prabowo is
engaging in to rework his image as not only a diplomat, but also to remind
people that he is an established elite, impeccably politically connected and
influential. He was once married to one of the late strongman’s daughters, Siti
Haryadi.
Many Indonesians are wary of the former general and
head of the country’s Kopassus special forces unit, who courted controversy
with such antics as amously bursting into the presidential palace with a
firearm and demanding to see then president B.J.Habibie in an attempted coup. He
denies an attempt at a takeover, but frankly admits to the fact that if he
actually wanted to take power by force he could have.
Prabowo can no longer afford to be seen as impulsive
and violent, instead using cases like Wilfrida’s to project a personable social
justice conscience while keeping with his military and political reputation of
uncompromising authority and command. He rates high in presidential election
popularity polls and his Gerindra Party, has 15 million members.
Banned from entering the US because of alleged
involvement in human rights abuses, Prabowo was discharged from the army in 1998
after Suharto fell. He is accused of kidnapping, human rights abuses, and an
attempted coup. He spent time in
self-exile in Jordan, before emerging and transforming himself politically from
a figure of loathing into an apparently strong and sincere advocate for social
justice and economic nationalism.
Ten years ago, few would have thought Prabowo would
manage such a public relations conjuring trick. He was accused of instigating
violent crackdowns on pro-democracy protesters during the Suharto regime and
during the conflict in East Timor and Papua, but he was never charged and has
always maintained the allegations were rumors devised for political damage.
To questions why Indonesians would contemplate
electing a man as their democratic leader who fought against reformation and
how a man accused of human rights abuses could end up running for president,
some cite disenchantment with other nominees, but with such charismatic
potentials as Joko Widodo or the option of another well established elite in President
Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono’s brother in law Eddie Pramono, this doesn’t satisfy
why people are prepared to overlook a controversial history and promote someone
to the highest office who once was utterly opposed to democracy.
Human rights accountability and the processes of
resolving cases of atrocity, have already been partly subsumed by Prabowo’s
rise to leadership in a mainstream party. Human rights abusers in Indonesia
have enjoyed evasion from justice and full exposure. Only recently a film appeared
that re-enacts the brutality of reformation. “Jagal” (Butcher), a banned film,
highlights the military’s role in organised mass killings, and has reignited
public discussion about accountability and the need for apologies and
reparation.
There would be little chance of a national
conversation about the sins of that era should Prabowo win. His appeal, according to University of
Western Australia Professor Krishna Sen, is similar to that of Thailand’s Thaksin
Shinawatra as he has a large following among the rural and undereducated
classes although educated urbanites are sceptical.
Despite his rhetoric about commitment to secularism
and the protection of minority religious groups, the poor, and farmers, the
already fragile state of democracy in Indonesia could go into recession under a
leader with autocratic tendencies. Since 2007 Indonesia has not improved its
democratic index and there is resistance to democratization from elites within
the executive, judiciary, military, and business.
Prabowo says he
is pro strengthening government and says Indonesia needs a strong
government prepared to intervene in lacklustre sections of the economy. He is
also circumspect about foreign investment and market forces.
He would become an official presidential nominee if
he gets the Indonesian Democratic Party (PDI-P) on side as a coalition, but he
will inherit a state whose transition into pluralism is as yet contingent and
not inevitable by any means.
Euan Mie, a commenter in the Jakarta Globe, sarcastically
sums up what many other cognisant Indonesians feel about Prabowo’s public
relations campaign for president.
“If there's a principle that Prabowo has stood by
his entire professional career, it's unjust executions” he said.
That image however will be given serious varnish by
the time the elections roll around, as Prabowo’s billionaire older brother Hashim
has commissioned a New York advertising agency to groom and polish Prabowo’s
image and also donated money to Republican think tanks which will ensure he is
not completely smeared by bad press in the US.
It begs the question of just how quick the US will
rescind the visa ban and receive Prabowo on US soil if he is elected. Probably
about as quick as Australia will.
A Prabowo win means in order to protect its
interests and relationship with Indonesia, Australia would be faced with
negotiating a higher level of accommodation, ethically and politically, to a
potentially more belligerent and nationalist driven neighbour.
Should Prabowo get the job, a critical juncture will
emerge for Australia Indonesia relations, with the possibility that the two
nationalist leaders will generate tense diplomatic situations over regional
issues that infringe on sovereignty, such as the Abbott government’s already
controversial asylum seeker policies.
Between now and then, Prabowo’s image control will
be in overdrive, seeking to saturate the media with alternate images of a diplomat
rather than a soldier.
Lauren Gumbs is a freelance journalist based in East Java and is also the Provincial Representative of the Indonesia Institute (Inc)
What will Australia do if Prabowo gets elected.? Nationalism in Indonesia will challenge so much of Australia seeks to avoid.
ReplyDeleteNice article, but you may want to cite references to clearly plagiarized material ;)
ReplyDeleteThanks. But what plagiarism? This article was co-written by John Berthelson, Editor of the Asia Sentinel. Perhaps you read the original there? Lauren
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